Document Type

Article

Publication Date

2026

Abstract

This essay introduces distillation laundering, a new form of regulatory arbitrage. Distillation, a technique for training large language models based on the outputs of other models instead of from scratch, is generally prohibited by the terms of service of closed-weight frontier models. However, it is economically efficient and has been key to the success of the cheap, distilled (largely Chinese) open-weight models, which have reshaped the global political economy of AI regulation. US companies have now begun to re-import the effects of distillation through various means—a process we call distillation laundering. We also discuss how attempts to lobby these models out of the market to protect closed business models face a barrier posed by their growing popularity among businesses and other users, which together form a powerful counter-interest group. Finally, we discuss potential equilibrium outcomes in AI governance and the rise of a Beijing Effect, where China’s ability to shape the deployment of open models is key to the global AI race.

Publication Citation

Forthcoming, Georgetown Journal of National Security Law & Policy (Volume XVII, 2026).

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